Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000675 0.000765 0.000860 0.000968 0.001087 0.001214 0.001358
2025-12-07 0.000532 0.000657 0.000798 0.000968 0.001166 0.001388 0.001656
2025-12-14 0.000448 0.000587 0.000752 0.000958 0.001208 0.001499 0.001859
2025-12-21 0.000382 0.000529 0.000709 0.000943 0.001237 0.001588 0.002036
2025-12-28 0.000348 0.000505 0.000704 0.000970 0.001312 0.001731 0.002278
2026-01-04 0.000317 0.000479 0.000692 0.000985 0.001371 0.001855 0.002497
2026-01-11 0.000281 0.000445 0.000665 0.000977 0.001398 0.001935 0.002661
2026-01-18 0.000250 0.000411 0.000637 0.000964 0.001414 0.002001 0.002808
2026-01-25 0.000229 0.000393 0.000626 0.000973 0.001460 0.002105 0.003005
2026-02-01 0.000210 0.000373 0.000613 0.000976 0.001497 0.002197 0.003187
2026-02-08 0.000183 0.000340 0.000577 0.000945 0.001483 0.002218 0.003274
2026-02-15 0.000162 0.000312 0.000547 0.000920 0.001475 0.002247 0.003370
2026-02-22 0.000147 0.000295 0.000531 0.000916 0.001498 0.002319 0.003529
2026-03-01 0.000134 0.000280 0.000519 0.000916 0.001527 0.002400 0.003700
2026-03-08 0.000121 0.000263 0.000502 0.000906 0.001540 0.002458 0.003840
2026-03-15 0.000109 0.000246 0.000483 0.000892 0.001545 0.002503 0.003963
2026-03-22 0.000104 0.000243 0.000488 0.000918 0.001611 0.002639 0.004218
2026-03-29 0.000098 0.000237 0.000487 0.000933 0.001661 0.002751 0.004442
2026-04-05 0.000090 0.000224 0.000473 0.000925 0.001674 0.002810 0.004587
2026-04-12 0.000081 0.000210 0.000456 0.000912 0.001679 0.002854 0.004712
2026-04-19 0.000076 0.000204 0.000453 0.000921 0.001718 0.002953 0.004918
2026-04-26 0.000070 0.000196 0.000446 0.000924 0.001749 0.003037 0.005105
2026-05-03 0.000062 0.000180 0.000422 0.000894 0.001722 0.003032 0.005156